Plenty think it could be a three-way tussle between Labour, Reform and the Greens, the BBC's political editor writes.
Records and emails will be reviewed to determine whether the convicted sex offender used military bases when visiting the UK.
Arrivals at the Rock's airport would have to show their passport twice under a new UK-EU treaty.
The 52-year-old is serving a life sentence after being convicted of murdering schoolgirls Holly Wells and Jessica Chapman.
People at the start of their careers are particularly affected by the UK's weak job market.